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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.36+3.03vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+0.41vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62-1.78vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.43-1.03vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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3.41University of Hawaii1.740.2%1st Place
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2.22Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.97University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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4.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Dorsay | 8.7% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 25.2% |
| Grace Yakutis | 19.7% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 8.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 16.0% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 11.4% |
| Stephanie Houck | 37.8% | 25.9% | 20.4% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.9% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 24.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 23.0% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.