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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+2.45vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.62+0.24vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.94vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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2.24Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.09University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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4.06University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Schadt | 14.5% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 13.9% |
| Stephanie Houck | 39.7% | 24.3% | 17.8% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 19.0% | 20.9% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 6.6% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.8% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 26.5% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 20.9% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.