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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+2.47vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.19vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.02vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62-2.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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2.35Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Schadt | 13.9% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 13.7% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 20.1% | 31.6% |
| Grace Yakutis | 19.0% | 20.3% | 20.8% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 7.4% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 36.7% | 25.8% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Laura Roudebush | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.