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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.96+1.43vs Predicted
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2Unknown School-1.51+3.52vs Predicted
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3Unknown School-1.07+1.84vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-0.40-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.64-0.66vs Predicted
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6Unknown School0.53-3.38vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.74-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of British Columbia0.9632.0%1st Place
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5.52Unknown School-1.514.4%1st Place
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4.84Unknown School-1.076.8%1st Place
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3.82Unknown School-0.4013.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Victoria-0.648.7%1st Place
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2.62Unknown School0.5327.4%1st Place
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4.43Unknown School-0.747.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Fretenburg | 32.0% | 26.4% | 20.3% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Frederick Mitchell | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 42.4% |
| Aevyn Jackson | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 22.9% |
| Bryce Lutz | 13.1% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 6.5% |
| Maclain Walsworth | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 12.4% |
| Rory Walsh | 27.4% | 25.4% | 20.8% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| William Cran | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.