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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+2.44vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.62+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.96-1.79vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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2.25Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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4.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Schadt | 14.6% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 13.4% |
| Stephanie Houck | 39.8% | 23.7% | 18.3% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 22.0% | 22.9% |
| Laura Roudebush | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 21.4% | 19.9% |
| Grace Yakutis | 17.1% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 11.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.