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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+2.48vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.18vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.62-0.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.96-1.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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2.22Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.6% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 13.5% |
| Alyson Crowley | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 21.8% | 29.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 39.4% | 24.5% | 18.9% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 10.8% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 21.8% | 22.3% |
| Grace Yakutis | 18.0% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 11.1% |
| Laura Roudebush | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 20.6% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.