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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.74+1.40vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.43+0.85vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.89vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.96-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.4University of Hawaii1.740.2%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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4.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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3.14University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 36.8% | 27.8% | 17.9% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 15.1% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 11.9% |
| Laura Roudebush | 11.6% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 19.9% |
| Alyson Crowley | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 21.5% | 30.1% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 9.3% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 28.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 18.7% | 19.3% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.