← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.62+1.28vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.95vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.96+0.11vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.74-0.56vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.69vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.28Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
-
3.95University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
-
3.11University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
-
3.44University of Hawaii1.740.2%1st Place
-
4.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
3.92University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 37.2% | 26.9% | 17.5% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 9.7% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 23.3% |
| Grace Yakutis | 19.0% | 20.3% | 20.7% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 7.3% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 15.6% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 11.5% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 20.7% | 33.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 10.8% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 20.4% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.