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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.23vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.62+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.74-1.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.36-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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2.25Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
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3.08University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.55University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.0University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyson Crowley | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 20.6% | 30.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 39.0% | 25.8% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Grace Yakutis | 19.5% | 20.7% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 6.8% |
| Laura Roudebush | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 20.6% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.9% | 17.3% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 16.1% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 20.7% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.