← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.74+2.46vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.62+0.26vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.96vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.22vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.96-1.79vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.46University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
2.26Stanford University2.620.4%1st Place
-
3.96University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
-
4.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
3.21University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
-
3.88University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Schadt | 14.2% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 13.8% |
| Stephanie Houck | 39.5% | 23.4% | 18.4% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 10.5% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 22.4% | 22.2% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 22.0% | 29.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 16.9% | 22.6% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 11.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 11.0% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 19.0% | 19.1% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.