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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+2.53vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.97vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.90-1.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.96-1.69vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.97University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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1.97Stanford University2.900.5%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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4.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.4% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 13.2% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 9.3% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 21.8% | 22.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 46.6% | 25.4% | 16.9% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Laura Roudebush | 10.8% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 22.0% | 20.3% |
| Grace Yakutis | 15.2% | 21.1% | 19.8% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 11.6% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 21.4% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.