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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.74+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.01vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.96-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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3.45University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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4.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.06University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 44.0% | 27.3% | 16.6% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 13.1% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 12.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 19.1% | 21.5% | 23.3% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 21.8% | 29.9% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.7% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 25.4% |
| Grace Yakutis | 16.7% | 19.3% | 22.5% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.