Race 12A

top-nine-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Nick Aswad 8.0% 7.0% 6.6% 7.2% 7.5% 5.1% 6.1% 6.8% 7.3% 6.7% 5.7% 7.0% 6.6% 5.4% 3.8% 2.5% 0.7%
Taylor Vann 7.2% 7.3% 7.6% 7.0% 7.2% 7.7% 6.4% 6.7% 6.3% 8.0% 5.6% 5.5% 6.7% 4.1% 4.8% 1.7% 0.2%
Ian Liberty 6.4% 5.1% 6.8% 8.3% 6.7% 6.1% 6.4% 6.9% 5.3% 5.5% 7.3% 6.2% 5.4% 7.5% 5.5% 3.5% 1.1%
Ian Holtzworth 7.7% 8.7% 6.9% 7.7% 6.4% 7.3% 7.2% 6.4% 7.2% 9.6% 4.0% 4.5% 5.9% 5.0% 3.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Brady Stagg 10.4% 10.2% 9.0% 9.8% 8.1% 9.0% 6.4% 7.2% 6.5% 5.3% 3.9% 3.2% 4.1% 2.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4%
John Wallace 4.9% 5.0% 4.1% 4.6% 5.6% 6.8% 5.8% 6.5% 6.7% 5.5% 7.2% 7.6% 7.9% 6.5% 7.9% 5.1% 2.3%
Devin Laviano 7.0% 6.6% 6.3% 5.3% 6.6% 7.6% 8.7% 6.4% 6.5% 7.9% 6.5% 6.8% 6.0% 3.4% 4.7% 3.2% 0.5%
Ike Babbitt 8.0% 8.1% 7.1% 8.4% 6.9% 5.8% 5.2% 7.3% 6.9% 5.7% 6.7% 5.4% 5.8% 5.8% 4.4% 1.6% 0.9%
Zach Runci 3.1% 4.5% 5.7% 3.3% 5.7% 4.9% 5.6% 5.7% 5.4% 6.5% 7.9% 7.8% 7.1% 7.7% 8.4% 7.5% 3.2%
Daniel Eichler 5.9% 6.8% 8.1% 7.0% 7.3% 7.9% 6.7% 7.3% 6.5% 5.3% 6.7% 6.4% 5.0% 5.0% 3.6% 3.2% 1.3%
Randall Hartranft 8.0% 5.4% 5.7% 6.6% 6.4% 4.9% 7.2% 6.7% 5.8% 5.5% 6.9% 7.8% 7.3% 7.6% 3.8% 3.3% 1.1%
Patrick Kana 8.4% 8.9% 9.6% 8.8% 7.9% 7.3% 7.1% 6.3% 6.6% 5.8% 5.8% 5.4% 4.2% 3.0% 2.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Andrew Mason 6.3% 6.0% 5.0% 6.5% 6.2% 6.1% 8.5% 7.4% 6.8% 6.5% 6.9% 6.4% 4.8% 5.8% 5.3% 4.1% 1.4%
Ryann Hall 1.5% 2.0% 2.4% 2.5% 1.4% 3.4% 3.3% 3.9% 4.1% 3.5% 4.1% 4.4% 7.3% 8.8% 12.9% 19.1% 15.4%
Tyler Steel 4.7% 6.8% 5.9% 4.4% 5.8% 6.3% 5.3% 4.5% 6.1% 6.5% 8.3% 6.4% 6.8% 7.8% 6.8% 5.5% 2.1%
Hadley Burnham 2.0% 1.3% 2.0% 1.7% 3.3% 2.6% 3.3% 2.8% 3.6% 3.9% 4.9% 6.2% 5.6% 9.7% 12.5% 19.8% 14.8%
Amanda Tooker 0.5% 0.3% 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 0.8% 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.6% 3.0% 3.5% 4.3% 7.5% 14.7% 53.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.