← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.27vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.90+0.01vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.96+0.15vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.74-0.48vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles1.43-1.01vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley1.36-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
2.01Stanford University2.900.5%1st Place
-
3.15University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
-
3.52University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
3.99University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
-
4.06University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyson Crowley | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 20.8% | 31.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 45.2% | 27.2% | 15.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Grace Yakutis | 17.7% | 21.3% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 7.5% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.1% | 16.5% | 21.1% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 12.3% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.9% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 20.3% | 23.7% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 20.9% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.