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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+2.51vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+0.03vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.15vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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2.03Stanford University2.900.5%1st Place
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3.15University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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4.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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3.95University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Schadt | 13.1% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 14.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 45.2% | 25.8% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Grace Yakutis | 17.0% | 21.0% | 20.6% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 6.8% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 23.8% | 29.2% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 26.5% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.4% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.