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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.36+3.04vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43-0.07vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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2.02Stanford University2.900.4%1st Place
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3.16University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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3.93University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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4.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciara Dorsay | 9.1% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 25.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 44.8% | 27.1% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Grace Yakutis | 16.9% | 21.2% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 6.7% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.8% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 22.8% | 20.6% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 20.2% | 34.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 13.3% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.