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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.49+5.01vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.81+6.70vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.50+3.07vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+6.46vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.05-0.61vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida4.17+1.18vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.56+2.65vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.74-2.63vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.64+4.11vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.85+2.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.94vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.37-1.25vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.50-3.39vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.07-2.19vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.00-3.21vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.78-7.45vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.29-2.51vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.03-6.17vs Predicted
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19University of Washington1.80-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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10.46Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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4.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.050.2%1st Place
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7.18University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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9.65Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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5.37Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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13.11Yale University2.640.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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11.94U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Miami3.500.0%1st Place
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11.81Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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11.79SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.55College of Charleston3.780.0%1st Place
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14.49Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.83Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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15.82University of Washington1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Strammer | 8.9% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Criezis | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Tedd Himler | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| John Booth | 16.1% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Chris Barnard | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Vrolyk | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 10.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| George Prieto | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Pete Hazelett | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Weiksnar | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Riihiluoma | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Ted Green | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Erik Bowers | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 21.8% |
| Collin Leon | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| William Wilder | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.