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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.18+3.12vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+1.23vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.85+1.11vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.61-1.04vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.35vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University0.54-1.30vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12U. S. Naval Academy1.1811.8%1st Place
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3.23Georgetown University1.8621.3%1st Place
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4.11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8512.0%1st Place
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2.96Old Dominion University1.6124.2%1st Place
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4.65St. Mary's College of Maryland0.678.4%1st Place
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4.7Georgetown University0.548.5%1st Place
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4.23George Washington University1.0713.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 13.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 21.3% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Maisy Sperry | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 13.9% |
| Esther Ireland | 24.2% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 23.0% |
| Alexa Shea | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 24.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.