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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.34+6.72vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+7.01vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.38+4.78vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.28+4.23vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.92+4.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+2.27vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.10vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.70-1.47vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-0.48vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-2.72vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.77vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.38-4.25vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.12-0.36vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.26-5.63vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.16-2.65vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.33-7.99vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.20-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72U. S. Naval Academy3.340.1%1st Place
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9.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.380.1%1st Place
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8.23SUNY Maritime College3.280.1%1st Place
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9.4Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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6.53Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.1%1st Place
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9.23SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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12.64Washington College2.120.0%1st Place
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8.37Georgetown University3.260.1%1st Place
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12.35Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.01Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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14.99Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Laviano | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| John Wallace | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Ike Babbitt | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Randall Hartranft | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Zach Runci | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Nick Aswad | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Kana | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brady Stagg | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Steel | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Vann | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Hadley Burnham | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 19.9% | 16.1% |
| Andrew Mason | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Ryann Hall | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 15.5% |
| Daniel Eichler | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Tooker | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 15.2% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.