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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.48+4.62vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.21+1.53vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston0.01+0.17vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.13+1.12vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.54-0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.65-3.74vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-2.08-1.42vs Predicted
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9University of Central Oklahoma-1.48-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.480.0%1st Place
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3.53Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.210.1%1st Place
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3.17Texas A&M University at Galveston0.010.2%1st Place
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5.12Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.130.1%1st Place
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4.12Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.540.1%1st Place
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2.26University of Texas0.650.4%1st Place
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6.58Texas A&M University-2.080.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Central Oklahoma-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marisa Soto | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 20.4% | 20.1% | 20.0% |
| John Jacobs | 14.8% | 17.7% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Connor Sager | 20.7% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Charles Larrouilh | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 11.5% |
| Hayden Montoya | 9.9% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 3.1% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 37.4% | 27.5% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Amelia Knapp | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 46.2% |
| Mikasa Barnes | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 24.5% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.