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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.61+0.60vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-2.08+3.38vs Predicted
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3Rice University-0.60+0.62vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.16-2.07vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-1.34-0.46vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.56-1.19vs Predicted
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7Loyola University New Orleans-2.86-0.88vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-2.08-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Tulane University1.610.5%1st Place
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5.38Texas A&M University-2.080.0%1st Place
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3.62Rice University-0.600.1%1st Place
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1.93Tulane University1.160.3%1st Place
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4.54University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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4.81Miami University-1.560.0%1st Place
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6.12Loyola University New Orleans-2.860.0%1st Place
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5.38Texas A&M University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Mcavoy | 54.3% | 34.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Knapp | 0.9% | 2.2% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 22.2% | 32.0% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Walker | 6.8% | 9.5% | 32.2% | 28.3% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Berg | 33.2% | 45.2% | 17.2% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 2.4% | 4.5% | 17.0% | 23.3% | 26.3% | 18.5% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Clark | 1.7% | 3.5% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 24.2% | 24.9% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Burtchaell | 0.7% | 1.0% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 57.2% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Knapp | 0.9% | 2.2% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 22.2% | 32.0% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.