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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.61+0.62vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.16-0.08vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-2.08+2.37vs Predicted
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4Rice University-0.60-0.31vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.56-0.19vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-1.34-1.50vs Predicted
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7Loyola University New Orleans-2.86-0.90vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-2.08-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62Tulane University1.610.5%1st Place
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1.92Tulane University1.160.3%1st Place
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5.37Texas A&M University-2.080.0%1st Place
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3.69Rice University-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.81Miami University-1.560.0%1st Place
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4.5University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.1Loyola University New Orleans-2.860.0%1st Place
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5.37Texas A&M University-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Mcavoy | 54.5% | 32.1% | 11.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Berg | 34.6% | 44.2% | 16.8% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Knapp | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 31.3% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Walker | 4.4% | 10.3% | 32.6% | 26.4% | 18.4% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Chase Clark | 1.7% | 4.1% | 11.4% | 23.5% | 23.9% | 24.1% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 2.5% | 4.3% | 17.5% | 24.3% | 26.1% | 18.5% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Burtchaell | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 19.0% | 56.6% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Knapp | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 31.3% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.