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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.65+0.43vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.88+2.07vs Predicted
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3Rice University-0.61+0.73vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.88+0.07vs Predicted
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5Tulane University0.05-2.12vs Predicted
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6University of Texas-1.27-1.37vs Predicted
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7Loyola University New Orleans-2.00-1.43vs Predicted
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8Miami University-2.16-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43Tulane University1.650.7%1st Place
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4.07Texas A&M University-0.880.0%1st Place
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3.73Rice University-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.07Texas A&M University-0.880.0%1st Place
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2.88Tulane University0.050.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Texas-1.270.0%1st Place
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5.57Loyola University New Orleans-2.000.0%1st Place
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5.69Miami University-2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caelan Watts | 67.4% | 24.4% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jules Bettler | 4.8% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 21.4% | 21.0% | 14.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Loren Young | 6.8% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 22.3% | 18.2% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Jules Bettler | 4.8% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 21.4% | 21.0% | 14.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Clementine Furber | 14.1% | 31.7% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hernandez | 3.3% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 23.3% | 21.0% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Giordano | 1.5% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 27.1% | 35.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brownlee | 2.1% | 3.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 24.3% | 42.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.