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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School0.61+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.27+1.19vs Predicted
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3Unknown School0.06+0.48vs Predicted
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4Unknown School0.72-1.44vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.30-1.07vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.70-0.37vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-2.71-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Unknown School0.6125.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Maryland0.2718.0%1st Place
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3.48Unknown School0.0613.5%1st Place
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2.56Unknown School0.7229.3%1st Place
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3.93University of Victoria-0.3010.8%1st Place
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5.63Unknown School-1.702.6%1st Place
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6.49Unknown School-2.710.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie Rickman | 25.1% | 23.4% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Connor Smith | 18.0% | 18.7% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Nicola Fretenburg | 13.5% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 22.1% | 19.8% | 8.8% | 0.9% |
| Mathieu Graham | 29.3% | 25.1% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 29.3% | 14.1% | 2.0% |
| Kai Filmer | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 48.6% | 24.1% |
| Tobermory Smith | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 17.7% | 71.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.