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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.91+3.70vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.82+6.36vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+6.32vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.92+0.92vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.33+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.25+1.08vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.38-0.47vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.46-1.81vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.86-0.46vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.95-2.08vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.99-3.04vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia0.85-0.30vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.44-3.09vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66-1.63vs Predicted
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15Clemson University1.36-4.99vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-2.52+0.72vs Predicted
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17Rollins College-0.15-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7College of Charleston2.910.2%1st Place
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8.36University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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9.32Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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4.92University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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6.53Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.08University of South Florida2.250.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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6.19Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.54University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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7.92Eckerd College1.950.0%1st Place
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7.96Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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11.7University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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9.91North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.0%1st Place
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10.01Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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16.72Auburn University-2.520.0%1st Place
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14.24Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shannon | 17.5% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Conner Killham | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Baird | 14.4% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Fewell | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shannon | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ian Willoughby | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Allison Chenard | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 12.8% | 0.5% |
| Travis Tucker | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Graham Shivers | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 1.3% |
| Robert Gruskos | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 0.1% |
| Clare Sweeney | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 5.7% | 90.1% |
| Nick Baker | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 45.3% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.