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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+5.77vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.33+4.59vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.38+3.55vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.95+4.08vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.92-0.31vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.91-1.04vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.46-0.73vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.99-0.28vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.86-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.82-1.64vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-1.59vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.44-2.22vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia0.85-1.17vs Predicted
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14Clemson University1.36-3.78vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66-2.78vs Predicted
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16Rollins College-0.15-1.73vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-2.52-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77University of South Florida2.250.1%1st Place
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6.59Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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8.08Eckerd College1.950.1%1st Place
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4.69University of South Florida2.920.2%1st Place
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4.96College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
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6.27Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.72Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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8.52University of South Carolina1.860.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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9.41Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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9.78North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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10.22Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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12.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.0%1st Place
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14.27Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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16.76Auburn University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shannon | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 16.1% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Fewell | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Allison Chenard | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 2.4% |
| Robert Gruskos | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Graham Shivers | 1.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 18.4% | 1.4% |
| Nick Baker | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 16.1% | 46.2% | 6.5% |
| Clare Sweeney | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 6.0% | 89.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.