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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.92+3.67vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.86+6.24vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.99+4.86vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.95+4.11vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.44+4.61vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.91-1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.82+1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia0.85+3.54vs Predicted
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9University of Florida2.38-2.29vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66+2.25vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-1.54vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.15+2.21vs Predicted
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13Auburn University-2.52+3.65vs Predicted
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14Clemson University1.36-3.78vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.25-8.04vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.46-9.68vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.33-10.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67University of South Florida2.920.2%1st Place
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8.24University of South Carolina1.860.1%1st Place
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7.86Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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8.11Eckerd College1.950.1%1st Place
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9.61North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
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4.93College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
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12.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.0%1st Place
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9.46Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
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14.21Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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16.65Auburn University-2.520.0%1st Place
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10.22Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.96University of South Florida2.250.1%1st Place
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6.32Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.75Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Baird | 17.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Fewell | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Shannon | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Allison Chenard | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Shivers | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 1.8% |
| Conner Killham | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Baker | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 46.2% | 7.1% |
| Clare Sweeney | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 5.0% | 89.4% |
| Robert Gruskos | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Jensen McTighe | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.