← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.92+3.69vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College1.99+5.74vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.91+1.85vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina1.86+4.37vs Predicted
-
5University of Florida2.38+1.37vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.44+4.00vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University2.46-0.76vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College1.95-0.11vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University2.33-2.14vs Predicted
-
10Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-0.78vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida2.25-3.90vs Predicted
-
12Clemson University1.36-1.94vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami1.82-4.38vs Predicted
-
14University of Georgia0.85-2.15vs Predicted
-
15Rollins College-0.15-0.94vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66-3.68vs Predicted
-
17Auburn University-2.52-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.69University of South Florida2.920.2%1st Place
-
7.74Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
-
4.85College of Charleston2.910.1%1st Place
-
8.37University of South Carolina1.860.1%1st Place
-
6.37University of Florida2.380.1%1st Place
-
10.0North Carolina State University1.440.0%1st Place
-
6.24Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
-
7.89Eckerd College1.950.1%1st Place
-
6.86Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
-
9.22Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.0%1st Place
-
7.1University of South Florida2.250.1%1st Place
-
10.06Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
-
8.62University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
-
11.85University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
-
14.06Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
-
12.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.0%1st Place
-
16.78Auburn University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Baird | 16.2% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Willoughby | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shannon | 14.9% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Fewell | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Armington | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Tucker | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 0.1% |
| Telmo Basterra | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shannon | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Conner Killham | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Jensen McTighe | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Allison Chenard | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 18.5% | 14.4% | 0.6% |
| Nick Baker | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 45.0% | 7.0% |
| Graham Shivers | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 1.1% |
| Clare Sweeney | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 5.3% | 90.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.