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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.23+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.08+4.37vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+3.28vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.77+3.58vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.53+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.70+1.94vs Predicted
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7University of Florida1.29+2.21vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.17-1.88vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.82+1.89vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.16-0.47vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.88-3.74vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina1.25-2.70vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-1.52vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.33-4.78vs Predicted
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15Rollins College0.23-2.57vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-0.49-1.74vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-3.05-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29College of Charleston3.230.3%1st Place
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6.37University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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6.28University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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7.58Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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5.01Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.94University of South Florida1.700.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Florida1.290.0%1st Place
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6.12Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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10.89Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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9.53Clemson University1.160.0%1st Place
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7.26Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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9.3University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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11.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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9.22North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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12.43Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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14.26University of Georgia-0.490.0%1st Place
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16.81Auburn University-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Brown | 25.6% | 20.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gower | 12.0% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Smith | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Ploch | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Dodd | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jones | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 1.2% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Walsh | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 20.3% | 1.1% |
| Alex Sullivan | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 17.0% | 46.4% | 5.4% |
| Kamran Kangal | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 91.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.