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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+4.00vs Predicted
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2University of Florida1.29+7.13vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.23+0.31vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.77+3.62vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.17+1.13vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.88+1.27vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.70+0.77vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.16+1.47vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.16-2.60vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.08-3.59vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.33-1.87vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.23+0.45vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61-1.55vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology0.82-3.13vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina1.25-5.69vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-0.63-1.55vs Predicted
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17Auburn University-3.05-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Florida1.290.0%1st Place
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3.31College of Charleston3.230.2%1st Place
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7.62Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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6.13Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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7.27Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.77University of South Florida1.700.1%1st Place
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9.47Clemson University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.4University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Miami2.080.1%1st Place
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9.13North Carolina State University1.330.0%1st Place
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12.45Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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11.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.0%1st Place
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10.87Georgia Institute of Technology0.820.0%1st Place
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9.31University of South Carolina1.250.0%1st Place
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14.45University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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16.8Auburn University-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 13.6% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Beaudry | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 25.0% | 20.0% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Smith | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Dodd | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 20.2% | 19.5% | 1.0% |
| Alex Jones | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 8.5% | 1.2% |
| Megan Ploch | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Mackey Leventis | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 48.4% | 6.7% |
| Kamran Kangal | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 90.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.