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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School0.72+1.60vs Predicted
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2Unknown School0.61+0.65vs Predicted
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3Unknown School0.06+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.27-0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.30-1.06vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.70-0.38vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-2.71-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Unknown School0.7227.9%1st Place
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2.65Unknown School0.6126.5%1st Place
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3.46Unknown School0.0614.5%1st Place
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3.25University of Maryland0.2717.3%1st Place
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3.94University of Victoria-0.3010.9%1st Place
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5.62Unknown School-1.702.2%1st Place
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6.49Unknown School-2.710.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathieu Graham | 27.9% | 24.2% | 21.9% | 14.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Rickman | 26.5% | 26.0% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Nicola Fretenburg | 14.5% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 20.5% | 21.4% | 8.1% | 0.8% |
| Connor Smith | 17.3% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 21.3% | 19.2% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 10.9% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 26.8% | 15.0% | 2.6% |
| Kai Filmer | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 47.8% | 24.4% |
| Tobermory Smith | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 18.8% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.