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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.30+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.27+1.20vs Predicted
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3Unknown School0.72-0.46vs Predicted
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4Unknown School0.06-0.50vs Predicted
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5Unknown School0.61-2.26vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.70-0.38vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-2.71-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93University of Victoria-0.3010.9%1st Place
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3.2University of Maryland0.2717.4%1st Place
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2.54Unknown School0.7230.1%1st Place
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3.5Unknown School0.0613.9%1st Place
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2.74Unknown School0.6124.2%1st Place
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5.62Unknown School-1.702.5%1st Place
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6.47Unknown School-2.710.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Lowenthal | 10.9% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 27.5% | 15.0% | 1.9% |
| Connor Smith | 17.4% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Mathieu Graham | 30.1% | 24.8% | 19.7% | 14.9% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicola Fretenburg | 13.9% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 9.2% | 0.9% |
| Maggie Rickman | 24.2% | 25.1% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Kai Filmer | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 47.6% | 24.7% |
| Tobermory Smith | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 17.4% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.