Race 1A

phoebe-corckran-king-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Paula Resto 4.4% 6.1% 5.9% 8.2% 8.7% 10.5% 11.0% 10.7% 12.6% 10.2% 6.5% 3.9% 1.3%
Anna Huebschmann 3.2% 4.6% 4.3% 6.2% 6.5% 6.8% 9.7% 12.1% 13.4% 11.8% 9.9% 7.4% 4.1%
Julia Lambert 15.2% 13.3% 14.7% 14.3% 12.4% 10.8% 7.4% 5.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Lydia Grasberger 14.2% 13.8% 14.2% 12.4% 11.8% 12.3% 9.2% 6.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2%
Alie Toppa 25.9% 19.7% 17.1% 13.2% 9.9% 6.0% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Allison Chenard 1.3% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 3.9% 3.6% 7.0% 7.7% 10.1% 12.1% 16.7% 16.3% 12.3%
Miranda Bakos 13.2% 10.3% 10.5% 12.1% 12.6% 10.4% 10.9% 8.6% 6.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2%
Carrie Marshall 1.0% 2.7% 2.6% 2.5% 2.7% 4.6% 4.1% 6.9% 9.4% 13.1% 16.0% 16.2% 18.2%
Sarah DeLoach 1.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.3% 3.1% 4.1% 5.9% 6.5% 9.5% 12.4% 15.0% 16.4% 18.0%
Megan Ploch 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 2.1% 3.6% 4.2% 5.2% 8.4% 9.8% 13.9% 14.2% 16.7% 14.1%
Susan Riley 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 2.5% 2.3% 4.5% 5.8% 6.2% 8.5% 15.5% 19.8% 30.7%
Rose Edwards 11.7% 13.3% 13.5% 11.8% 12.3% 11.3% 9.7% 7.6% 4.2% 3.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Jessica McJones 5.1% 7.6% 7.8% 9.9% 10.0% 13.1% 11.0% 11.5% 10.7% 7.4% 3.2% 2.0% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.