Race 2A

phoebe-corckran-king-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Julia Lambert 15.0% 15.2% 14.1% 12.8% 13.5% 10.4% 8.6% 4.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Miranda Bakos 10.6% 11.4% 12.1% 12.2% 12.3% 11.1% 10.2% 8.3% 5.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Rose Edwards 12.6% 13.4% 13.6% 12.0% 12.5% 11.3% 9.6% 7.7% 3.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 15.1% 12.6% 12.8% 14.1% 12.8% 10.9% 8.8% 6.3% 4.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
Paula Resto 6.4% 5.8% 6.6% 7.9% 7.2% 10.0% 11.9% 11.2% 13.0% 8.4% 7.3% 3.5% 0.8%
Anna Huebschmann 3.8% 3.7% 4.8% 5.8% 6.8% 8.5% 10.1% 10.0% 12.4% 13.1% 10.7% 7.3% 3.0%
Alie Toppa 23.9% 20.3% 17.2% 13.0% 10.2% 6.3% 4.5% 3.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Allison Chenard 1.4% 3.2% 2.4% 3.3% 2.9% 4.0% 5.6% 8.0% 11.7% 13.0% 15.9% 14.9% 13.7%
Sarah DeLoach 1.9% 2.2% 1.9% 2.9% 3.3% 4.0% 5.6% 5.8% 10.0% 13.9% 13.3% 19.2% 16.0%
Carrie Marshall 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 3.3% 3.3% 4.9% 6.9% 8.2% 12.5% 16.6% 17.1% 18.6%
Megan Ploch 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 3.6% 3.8% 5.3% 5.9% 9.4% 11.3% 13.3% 15.7% 15.2% 11.1%
Susan Riley 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 2.0% 1.2% 2.7% 2.5% 6.1% 6.4% 8.1% 13.0% 19.1% 36.1%
Jessica McJones 5.2% 7.4% 9.1% 7.9% 10.2% 12.2% 11.8% 12.3% 10.1% 7.9% 3.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.