Race 3A

phoebe-corckran-king-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Miranda Bakos 10.5% 11.4% 11.8% 10.9% 12.5% 12.7% 9.9% 8.4% 6.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Alie Toppa 24.0% 19.9% 18.1% 12.1% 9.9% 7.4% 4.7% 1.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Julia Lambert 13.4% 14.9% 14.5% 14.0% 11.4% 11.7% 8.5% 6.0% 3.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 13.5% 13.8% 13.1% 15.4% 11.9% 10.5% 8.9% 6.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2%
Paula Resto 6.0% 6.0% 6.7% 8.7% 8.5% 8.9% 10.3% 12.1% 12.6% 9.2% 6.5% 3.6% 0.9%
Jessica McJones 7.6% 6.9% 8.5% 9.6% 11.0% 11.4% 12.9% 8.6% 9.6% 7.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.3%
Rose Edwards 14.1% 13.9% 12.4% 12.2% 11.9% 11.1% 9.3% 7.5% 4.3% 1.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Anna Huebschmann 3.7% 5.0% 3.9% 5.1% 6.9% 7.5% 11.0% 11.6% 12.9% 12.5% 9.4% 7.7% 2.8%
Megan Ploch 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 2.1% 4.3% 4.0% 5.5% 6.3% 11.8% 12.6% 16.1% 16.9% 13.6%
Allison Chenard 2.0% 2.3% 3.5% 2.1% 3.0% 4.3% 5.8% 8.4% 10.6% 13.5% 15.6% 14.8% 14.1%
Sarah DeLoach 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 3.3% 4.2% 4.4% 5.4% 9.5% 9.8% 14.1% 17.0% 15.0% 12.8%
Carrie Marshall 1.2% 1.4% 2.0% 2.7% 3.1% 3.3% 5.9% 7.3% 7.3% 13.0% 15.3% 18.8% 18.7%
Susan Riley 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 2.8% 1.9% 5.9% 6.4% 9.0% 11.9% 19.8% 36.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.