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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland0.27+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.30+1.97vs Predicted
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3Unknown School0.61-0.31vs Predicted
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4Unknown School0.72-1.45vs Predicted
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5Unknown School0.06-1.54vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.70-0.39vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-2.71-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25University of Maryland0.2717.4%1st Place
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3.97University of Victoria-0.3010.1%1st Place
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2.69Unknown School0.6126.4%1st Place
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2.55Unknown School0.7228.6%1st Place
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3.46Unknown School0.0614.3%1st Place
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5.61Unknown School-1.702.4%1st Place
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6.47Unknown School-2.710.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Smith | 17.4% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 27.4% | 15.2% | 2.4% |
| Maggie Rickman | 26.4% | 24.6% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Mathieu Graham | 28.6% | 25.4% | 20.8% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicola Fretenburg | 14.3% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 21.6% | 20.7% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Kai Filmer | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 47.7% | 24.6% |
| Tobermory Smith | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 18.1% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.