Race 5A

phoebe-corckran-king-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Julia Lambert 14.8% 15.0% 13.8% 13.1% 12.8% 10.8% 9.1% 6.0% 2.3% 1.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Rose Edwards 12.3% 13.7% 13.8% 12.4% 12.0% 11.1% 8.6% 7.4% 5.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Alie Toppa 23.8% 19.8% 16.6% 13.0% 9.0% 9.9% 4.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Miranda Bakos 11.2% 10.3% 11.7% 11.6% 12.4% 11.2% 11.8% 8.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.3%
Paula Resto 5.7% 5.5% 7.1% 8.5% 7.7% 10.3% 9.8% 12.0% 12.7% 11.2% 4.9% 3.8% 0.8%
Jessica McJones 7.6% 6.9% 8.1% 10.8% 10.4% 11.2% 10.5% 11.5% 8.7% 8.3% 4.4% 1.2% 0.4%
Lydia Grasberger 14.3% 14.0% 14.5% 11.6% 13.6% 10.3% 8.9% 7.5% 2.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Megan Ploch 1.4% 3.6% 1.8% 3.3% 2.6% 3.5% 5.5% 8.2% 12.0% 11.8% 16.7% 17.3% 12.3%
Susan Riley 1.0% 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 2.9% 1.7% 4.1% 4.0% 6.3% 7.9% 12.9% 19.7% 34.8%
Sarah DeLoach 1.7% 2.2% 3.1% 2.0% 3.2% 3.8% 5.5% 7.2% 11.1% 13.2% 15.5% 16.5% 15.0%
Anna Huebschmann 3.3% 4.8% 4.3% 6.7% 7.0% 8.7% 9.7% 12.8% 12.1% 11.6% 10.3% 5.2% 3.5%
Allison Chenard 1.7% 1.3% 2.3% 2.4% 3.8% 5.1% 7.0% 6.5% 9.2% 14.3% 15.9% 14.7% 15.8%
Carrie Marshall 1.2% 1.8% 1.2% 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% 4.9% 6.3% 10.9% 13.4% 14.9% 20.6% 17.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.