Race 6A

phoebe-corckran-king-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alie Toppa 23.7% 20.3% 15.9% 14.3% 10.2% 7.0% 3.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 13.3% 13.7% 15.6% 14.6% 9.7% 11.8% 8.7% 5.7% 3.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Paula Resto 4.8% 4.4% 6.2% 7.5% 9.2% 10.1% 11.4% 13.2% 11.9% 10.2% 6.4% 3.9% 0.8%
Julia Lambert 15.7% 13.5% 13.8% 14.1% 12.5% 10.0% 7.7% 6.2% 3.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Miranda Bakos 11.3% 11.3% 12.8% 10.9% 12.3% 11.3% 11.6% 8.2% 5.2% 2.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Anna Huebschmann 3.8% 4.6% 4.1% 5.1% 7.2% 7.7% 9.9% 12.8% 12.5% 12.4% 10.0% 6.5% 3.4%
Megan Ploch 2.4% 2.7% 2.8% 2.0% 3.4% 5.3% 6.2% 7.5% 9.5% 14.0% 15.5% 16.6% 12.1%
Carrie Marshall 1.8% 1.4% 2.3% 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 4.6% 7.3% 8.8% 13.2% 15.3% 19.0% 16.1%
Jessica McJones 6.6% 7.4% 7.3% 8.5% 11.4% 11.0% 11.3% 12.1% 10.5% 6.6% 4.5% 2.2% 0.6%
Allison Chenard 1.9% 2.3% 3.1% 2.9% 3.3% 3.4% 7.0% 7.9% 12.3% 11.3% 15.3% 15.6% 13.7%
Rose Edwards 13.3% 15.2% 12.1% 13.1% 12.4% 12.4% 8.8% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Sarah DeLoach 0.6% 2.5% 2.8% 2.2% 3.6% 4.2% 5.3% 5.9% 10.1% 13.3% 14.9% 18.0% 16.6%
Susan Riley 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.8% 1.6% 1.8% 3.8% 4.4% 6.6% 10.0% 13.4% 17.4% 36.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.