Race 7A

phoebe-corckran-king-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alie Toppa 24.4% 20.4% 16.4% 13.4% 10.4% 6.3% 4.6% 2.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 13.9% 14.5% 14.2% 13.1% 12.9% 10.3% 8.6% 5.9% 4.0% 1.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Miranda Bakos 9.6% 10.9% 13.6% 11.9% 10.9% 11.2% 12.5% 8.6% 5.1% 3.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Rose Edwards 13.7% 12.4% 11.9% 14.0% 12.3% 11.2% 9.5% 7.0% 4.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.2%
Anna Huebschmann 4.1% 4.4% 4.8% 6.7% 6.8% 7.4% 9.7% 11.5% 12.3% 12.6% 10.1% 7.2% 2.4%
Megan Ploch 1.4% 2.0% 2.8% 2.7% 4.1% 4.0% 4.9% 9.0% 9.9% 13.0% 15.2% 18.7% 12.3%
Julia Lambert 16.2% 13.9% 14.6% 12.0% 15.1% 9.2% 8.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jessica McJones 6.8% 8.7% 7.7% 8.8% 9.0% 12.1% 12.0% 12.4% 10.7% 5.6% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5%
Paula Resto 5.0% 6.1% 6.5% 6.9% 6.4% 11.4% 11.7% 12.7% 10.8% 10.9% 7.1% 3.8% 0.7%
Susan Riley 0.9% 1.6% 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 3.0% 2.7% 3.7% 7.0% 11.2% 10.0% 18.4% 36.1%
Sarah DeLoach 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 2.9% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.7% 11.3% 13.6% 16.0% 15.0% 13.5%
Allison Chenard 1.2% 1.9% 2.2% 4.1% 3.4% 4.8% 6.0% 6.3% 9.3% 12.4% 17.8% 16.4% 14.2%
Carrie Marshall 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 1.7% 2.3% 4.1% 3.7% 7.8% 10.3% 11.9% 15.3% 17.8% 20.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.