Race 8A

phoebe-corckran-king-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alie Toppa 23.2% 20.9% 17.1% 14.5% 7.5% 7.2% 4.8% 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Julia Lambert 14.0% 16.3% 14.7% 12.5% 12.9% 11.5% 7.3% 5.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Megan Ploch 1.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 5.0% 7.2% 7.9% 10.6% 12.8% 15.4% 15.8% 15.0%
Lydia Grasberger 14.0% 13.0% 13.9% 15.1% 12.2% 10.5% 7.6% 6.4% 4.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Paula Resto 6.2% 5.9% 6.8% 7.1% 9.6% 9.2% 10.5% 12.9% 10.9% 10.7% 5.4% 3.0% 1.8%
Miranda Bakos 11.4% 11.8% 11.5% 11.8% 12.5% 10.8% 10.5% 8.6% 5.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Susan Riley 1.1% 2.0% 0.8% 1.6% 2.8% 2.6% 3.3% 4.3% 6.4% 9.7% 11.4% 20.4% 33.6%
Carrie Marshall 2.0% 1.6% 2.5% 2.7% 4.1% 2.8% 4.1% 7.8% 10.2% 10.5% 16.1% 18.7% 16.9%
Jessica McJones 6.5% 6.9% 8.5% 8.7% 10.4% 11.9% 12.2% 10.9% 10.7% 6.7% 3.6% 2.4% 0.6%
Rose Edwards 14.0% 12.9% 13.6% 11.9% 12.5% 11.6% 8.8% 7.2% 3.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Sarah DeLoach 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 3.2% 4.3% 4.3% 6.8% 7.4% 9.3% 14.0% 16.9% 14.6% 14.0%
Anna Huebschmann 3.0% 4.0% 4.0% 5.4% 6.1% 8.3% 10.3% 9.6% 13.9% 13.3% 12.0% 6.9% 3.2%
Allison Chenard 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 2.6% 4.3% 6.6% 8.3% 9.9% 13.0% 15.6% 16.4% 14.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.