Race 11A

phoebe-corckran-king-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rose Edwards 13.4% 12.9% 13.9% 12.8% 11.1% 10.6% 9.9% 6.7% 5.6% 1.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Alie Toppa 24.4% 21.8% 16.4% 12.0% 11.1% 6.5% 4.3% 1.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 12.8% 14.8% 14.7% 12.0% 13.1% 11.6% 8.7% 4.9% 4.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Sarah DeLoach 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 2.7% 3.7% 4.1% 5.8% 8.8% 8.7% 12.7% 14.1% 18.1% 16.3%
Megan Ploch 1.9% 2.6% 2.1% 3.4% 2.9% 4.5% 6.7% 7.4% 9.8% 14.2% 13.6% 15.8% 15.1%
Carrie Marshall 1.3% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 3.5% 3.7% 4.3% 7.7% 9.3% 12.1% 16.8% 17.8% 16.7%
Allison Chenard 2.7% 2.0% 2.6% 3.1% 3.8% 4.0% 5.8% 8.5% 10.2% 12.1% 16.3% 15.7% 13.2%
Miranda Bakos 11.4% 10.5% 12.6% 11.4% 12.2% 13.1% 11.1% 6.7% 6.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Paula Resto 5.1% 6.2% 6.2% 7.2% 7.8% 9.1% 11.2% 13.6% 11.8% 9.2% 7.4% 3.8% 1.4%
Anna Huebschmann 4.1% 4.7% 3.6% 5.4% 7.3% 7.5% 10.2% 11.3% 13.0% 11.6% 10.0% 7.1% 4.2%
Susan Riley 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.6% 4.0% 7.6% 10.1% 12.9% 19.7% 32.2%
Jessica McJones 6.6% 6.7% 8.4% 10.0% 9.5% 11.3% 10.6% 12.5% 9.7% 8.2% 4.9% 0.8% 0.8%
Julia Lambert 14.2% 13.7% 14.0% 15.6% 11.3% 11.1% 7.8% 6.7% 2.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.