Race 12A

phoebe-corckran-king-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alie Toppa 25.1% 17.5% 17.4% 14.4% 9.0% 8.3% 3.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Rose Edwards 11.6% 14.5% 12.4% 12.8% 14.4% 10.1% 9.9% 6.4% 4.5% 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 12.1% 15.3% 14.7% 13.0% 10.2% 13.6% 8.7% 6.2% 3.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Julia Lambert 15.5% 14.0% 13.1% 14.2% 12.5% 10.8% 9.4% 5.5% 3.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2%
Jessica McJones 8.3% 7.1% 9.4% 8.5% 10.2% 11.1% 10.9% 11.8% 9.7% 7.0% 3.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Carrie Marshall 1.3% 1.4% 2.6% 3.0% 3.7% 2.9% 5.1% 6.7% 9.0% 12.7% 15.3% 19.3% 17.0%
Miranda Bakos 13.0% 11.6% 11.4% 9.8% 13.9% 12.0% 9.9% 7.7% 5.8% 2.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Paula Resto 5.1% 7.4% 5.5% 7.0% 8.6% 9.5% 12.0% 12.6% 12.6% 9.2% 5.9% 3.6% 1.0%
Anna Huebschmann 3.1% 4.0% 5.0% 6.1% 5.2% 6.4% 10.4% 11.5% 12.8% 13.4% 10.9% 8.0% 3.2%
Sarah DeLoach 1.5% 2.3% 2.7% 2.9% 2.8% 3.8% 5.0% 8.2% 9.7% 12.3% 17.4% 15.3% 16.1%
Allison Chenard 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 3.3% 4.9% 5.1% 5.8% 8.5% 12.3% 14.8% 13.5% 15.2% 10.9%
Megan Ploch 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 3.5% 3.3% 4.2% 6.2% 7.1% 9.2% 13.0% 16.6% 16.8% 14.8%
Susan Riley 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.3% 2.2% 2.8% 5.1% 7.2% 9.0% 12.5% 18.9% 36.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.