Race 13A

phoebe-corckran-king-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Miranda Bakos 10.2% 11.5% 12.1% 12.2% 10.8% 12.5% 11.6% 8.6% 4.7% 3.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Julia Lambert 15.9% 14.2% 13.0% 13.9% 13.2% 10.3% 7.5% 7.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 12.7% 14.1% 13.0% 13.7% 13.2% 12.6% 8.4% 6.4% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Anna Huebschmann 2.8% 3.7% 5.5% 4.9% 6.9% 8.3% 8.6% 12.4% 13.8% 10.7% 10.9% 8.1% 3.4%
Megan Ploch 2.2% 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 3.2% 4.2% 5.9% 7.7% 10.3% 14.0% 15.3% 17.4% 11.5%
Rose Edwards 13.8% 11.9% 13.5% 11.9% 13.3% 11.9% 8.2% 6.5% 5.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Paula Resto 6.2% 5.7% 6.4% 8.6% 8.2% 8.4% 11.9% 12.1% 12.0% 10.5% 5.9% 3.2% 0.9%
Jessica McJones 6.6% 7.4% 9.4% 8.6% 9.7% 10.9% 14.1% 12.1% 8.6% 6.2% 4.6% 1.6% 0.2%
Sarah DeLoach 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% 2.7% 3.5% 4.0% 4.6% 6.2% 10.7% 13.5% 15.8% 17.7% 15.1%
Carrie Marshall 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 2.4% 3.3% 3.3% 5.8% 7.0% 10.2% 12.7% 16.5% 13.9% 19.1%
Alie Toppa 24.4% 22.4% 15.8% 13.7% 9.2% 6.4% 4.6% 1.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Allison Chenard 1.0% 2.3% 2.4% 2.6% 3.9% 5.2% 5.6% 7.4% 10.1% 12.7% 15.5% 16.9% 14.4%
Susan Riley 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 2.0% 3.2% 4.4% 6.9% 10.8% 11.3% 20.1% 35.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.