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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Unknown School0.61+1.73vs Predicted
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2Unknown School0.72+0.62vs Predicted
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3Unknown School0.06+0.39vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.27-0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.30-1.06vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.70-0.37vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-2.71-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Unknown School0.6125.6%1st Place
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2.62Unknown School0.7227.8%1st Place
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3.39Unknown School0.0615.2%1st Place
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3.2University of Maryland0.2718.4%1st Place
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3.94University of Victoria-0.3010.0%1st Place
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5.63Unknown School-1.702.0%1st Place
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6.47Unknown School-2.711.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie Rickman | 25.6% | 22.9% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Mathieu Graham | 27.8% | 24.6% | 21.0% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicola Fretenburg | 15.2% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 7.9% | 1.2% |
| Connor Smith | 18.4% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 21.4% | 15.8% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 28.5% | 13.6% | 2.8% |
| Kai Filmer | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 11.8% | 47.0% | 25.1% |
| Tobermory Smith | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 19.6% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.