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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+2.20vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+1.77vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35-0.23vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.38+0.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.56-0.83vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.30+0.67vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.15-0.05vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.74-0.22vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.86+1.59vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.36-1.49vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.31-2.21vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-0.63-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2College of Charleston3.090.2%1st Place
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3.77George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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2.77Boston University3.350.3%1st Place
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4.52Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.67Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.95Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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7.78Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.59Georgia Institute of Technology-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.51Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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8.79University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 21.6% | 17.7% | 21.1% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 15.4% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 28.0% | 25.1% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 9.4% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 3.7% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Salomon | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Abbie Probst | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Abigail Crombie | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 24.8% | 43.1% |
| Margot Murray | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 6.9% |
| Keara Paquette | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 9.0% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 27.8% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.