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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+2.21vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+1.79vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.38+1.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.56+0.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35-2.19vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.15+0.98vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.30-0.37vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.74-0.21vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.31-0.34vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.36-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-0.63-0.67vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.86-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21College of Charleston3.090.2%1st Place
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3.79George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.49Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.14U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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2.81Boston University3.350.3%1st Place
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6.98Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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6.63Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.79Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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8.66University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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8.53Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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10.65Georgia Institute of Technology-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 20.5% | 19.8% | 20.7% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 14.5% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 12.3% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 28.1% | 24.6% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 18.5% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Shaynah True | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Abbie Probst | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Keara Paquette | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 22.7% | 15.0% | 6.4% |
| Margot Murray | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 6.7% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 29.6% | 34.7% |
| Abigail Crombie | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 11.6% | 23.8% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.