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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland0.27+2.20vs Predicted
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2Unknown School0.61+0.73vs Predicted
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3Unknown School0.72-0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.30-0.05vs Predicted
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5Unknown School0.06-1.56vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.70-0.36vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-2.71-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Maryland0.2718.5%1st Place
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2.73Unknown School0.6126.5%1st Place
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2.6Unknown School0.7227.8%1st Place
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3.95University of Victoria-0.309.2%1st Place
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3.44Unknown School0.0614.1%1st Place
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5.64Unknown School-1.702.5%1st Place
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6.45Unknown School-2.711.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Smith | 18.5% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Maggie Rickman | 26.5% | 22.0% | 20.4% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Mathieu Graham | 27.8% | 24.9% | 21.1% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 9.2% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 26.4% | 14.4% | 2.5% |
| Nicola Fretenburg | 14.1% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 7.5% | 0.9% |
| Kai Filmer | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 48.5% | 24.9% |
| Tobermory Smith | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 18.6% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.