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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+2.21vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+1.79vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.38+1.48vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.56+0.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35-2.19vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.74+1.86vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.30-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.31+0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-0.63+1.24vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.15-3.05vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.36-2.33vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.86-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21College of Charleston3.090.2%1st Place
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3.79George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.48Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.14U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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2.81Boston University3.350.3%1st Place
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7.86Clemson University0.740.0%1st Place
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6.58Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.65University of South Carolina0.310.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
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6.95Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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8.67Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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10.62Georgia Institute of Technology-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 20.7% | 19.3% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 14.5% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 11.3% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 11.9% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 27.9% | 24.3% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Probst | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Shaynah True | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Keara Paquette | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 8.3% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 28.8% | 32.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Margot Murray | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 21.8% | 15.6% | 7.8% |
| Abigail Crombie | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 23.7% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.