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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.30+2.98vs Predicted
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2Unknown School0.61+0.67vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland0.27+0.21vs Predicted
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4Unknown School0.72-1.42vs Predicted
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5Unknown School0.06-1.57vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-1.70-0.36vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-2.71-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98University of Victoria-0.3010.8%1st Place
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2.67Unknown School0.6125.2%1st Place
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3.21University of Maryland0.2715.9%1st Place
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2.58Unknown School0.7228.1%1st Place
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3.43Unknown School0.0617.0%1st Place
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5.64Unknown School-1.702.2%1st Place
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6.48Unknown School-2.710.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Lowenthal | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 27.7% | 15.3% | 2.8% |
| Maggie Rickman | 25.2% | 25.9% | 20.9% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Smith | 15.9% | 20.6% | 19.8% | 20.7% | 16.8% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Mathieu Graham | 28.1% | 24.2% | 21.6% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicola Fretenburg | 17.0% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 20.6% | 8.5% | 0.9% |
| Kai Filmer | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 47.8% | 24.3% |
| Tobermory Smith | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 18.6% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.