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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+4.55vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.74+2.22vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.53+1.81vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.77+2.83vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.24+3.16vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.82+0.53vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.75+2.34vs Predicted
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8Hampton University3.02-4.47vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-1.68vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.69-3.06vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.33+0.48vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.16-6.16vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.36-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.22Eckerd College2.740.2%1st Place
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4.81Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.83Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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8.16University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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9.34Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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3.53Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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7.32Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.1%1st Place
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6.94Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
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11.48North Carolina State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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5.84University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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10.47Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 10.3% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 15.5% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gower | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 4.4% |
| Kyle Magno | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Allison DeLuca | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 12.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 21.1% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Edwards | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 18.7% | 51.2% |
| Preston Senior | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Margot Murray | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 26.0% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.