Race 2A

eckerd-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sean Beaulieu 9.3% 10.1% 10.6% 9.5% 11.5% 10.0% 10.7% 10.0% 7.5% 4.4% 4.4% 1.7% 0.3%
Jack Gower 12.8% 11.7% 13.7% 13.6% 10.5% 10.6% 8.4% 8.1% 5.2% 3.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Jeffrey Hayden 3.8% 5.5% 7.3% 8.9% 7.5% 9.2% 9.5% 10.3% 11.5% 11.7% 7.6% 6.1% 1.1%
Geoffrey Nelson 16.2% 14.4% 15.1% 12.6% 12.1% 7.7% 9.3% 5.5% 4.0% 1.7% 1.2% 0.0% 0.2%
Kevin Gallagher 4.4% 4.1% 4.4% 4.9% 5.4% 7.9% 7.2% 8.8% 10.4% 13.5% 14.4% 9.9% 4.7%
Maximilian Kuester 21.8% 21.6% 13.5% 12.4% 10.8% 6.6% 5.5% 4.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Senior 10.2% 9.8% 9.4% 9.9% 9.5% 11.7% 9.3% 9.1% 9.2% 6.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
Conner Killham 4.6% 5.4% 6.9% 6.8% 5.8% 8.4% 9.3% 10.0% 12.4% 11.9% 10.1% 6.9% 1.5%
Allison DeLuca 2.0% 3.5% 1.8% 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 5.6% 5.4% 8.2% 11.5% 17.2% 20.9% 12.7%
Kyle Magno 7.6% 6.8% 7.7% 6.1% 10.9% 9.6% 9.8% 9.9% 9.5% 8.5% 7.3% 4.9% 1.4%
Margot Murray 1.3% 1.0% 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 3.9% 4.7% 6.1% 6.3% 10.5% 15.4% 25.0% 19.4%
Hana Zwick 5.3% 5.6% 7.5% 7.9% 8.5% 8.9% 8.7% 10.6% 11.2% 10.4% 8.3% 5.6% 1.5%
Andrew Edwards 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 2.6% 5.7% 8.5% 16.6% 56.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.